Eighth Ward leans Democratic by roughly 26 points: about 63% of voters vote Democratic and 37% Republican.
About 47% of adults in Eighth Ward typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Eighth Ward, ~30% vote Democratic, ~17% Republican, and ~53% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Eighth Ward compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Eighth Ward leans more Democratic than 7 of 16 neighbors.
Eighth Ward runs about 27 points more Democratic than Pennsylvania as a whole. Pennsylvania is roughly evenly split, and Eighth Ward sits clearly on the Democratic side.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Eighth Ward. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+33) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+11), a spread of about 21 points.
Why Eighth Ward leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Eighth Ward, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 56% of adults in Eighth Ward have never been married, modestly above similar-sized neighborhoods (around 45%). Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting, and non-Hispanic white share in Eighth Ward is about 18%, about 54 points below the U.S. average of 72%. Eighth Ward runs against the grain of Pennsylvania, a Democratic-leaning outlier in a roughly evenly split state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Eighth Ward, Allentown, PA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Eighth Ward looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Eighth Ward is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 49%, about 15 points below the Pennsylvania average of 64%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 79% of adults in Eighth Ward have completed high school, below 87% of neighborhoods. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Eighth Ward sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Old Allentown, Allentown, PA D+34
- NoTi, Allentown, PA D+30
- West Park, Allentown, PA D+29
- Jordan Heights, Allentown, PA D+36
- Downtown, Allentown, PA D+38
- West Walnut, Allentown, PA D+30
- West End Theatre District, Allentown, PA D+26
- 6th Ward, Allentown, PA D+14
- 1st Ward, Allentown, PA D+30
- Fairview, Allentown, PA D+23
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Delano, Wichita, KS Even
- Long Meadow Farms, Richmond, TX R+12
- Twin Peaks, San Francisco, CA D+67
- Hampton Heights, Milwaukee, WI D+82
- Lincoln Creek, Milwaukee, WI D+84
- Pullman, Chicago, IL D+82
- Pueblo, Wichita, KS D+22
- Amphi, Tucson, AZ D+37
- Roselawn, Cincinnati, OH D+78
- Heights, Little Rock, AR D+19
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.