Nutbush leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican.
About 52% of adults in Nutbush typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Nutbush, ~30% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~48% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Nutbush compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Nutbush leans more Democratic than 68 of 72 neighbors.
Nutbush runs about 46 points more Democratic than Tennessee as a whole. Tennessee leans Republican overall, while Nutbush is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Nutbush. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+50) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+7), a spread of about 57 points.
Why Nutbush leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Nutbush, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Nutbush votes against the grain of Tennessee. Tennessee leans Republican overall, while Nutbush runs about 46 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 49% of adults in Nutbush have never been married, above 98% of cities.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Nutbush, TN sits above the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Nutbush looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Nutbush is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 46%, about 10 points below the Tennessee average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 51% of households in Nutbush rent, compared to around 33% in nearby cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 80% of adults in Nutbush have completed high school, below 91% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Brownsville, TN D+28
- Sunnyhill, TN D+19
- Shepp, TN D+6
- Belle Eagle, TN R+49
- Tibbs, TN R+21
- Koko, TN R+37
- Orysa, TN Even
- Cotton Lake, TN R+13
- Woodland, TN R+19
- Rudolph, TN R+66
Cities with Similar Populations
- Glendon, PA R+15
- Danciger, TX R+57
- Robat, SC R+61
- Aleppo, PA R+58
- Maplehurst, NY R+43
- Hanersville, OH R+54
- Beech Grove, KY R+62
- North Bend, MS R+71
- Timberon, NM R+83
- Tisch Mills, WI R+42
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.