Timberon is a Republican stronghold. About 8% of voters here vote Democratic and 92% Republican.
About 16% of adults in Timberon typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Timberon, ~1% vote Democratic, ~15% Republican, and ~84% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Timberon compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Timberon is the most Republican-leaning.
Timberon runs about 89 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Timberon is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Timberon leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Timberon, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Timberon votes against the grain of New Mexico. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Timberon runs about 89 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in Timberon are family households, above 85% of cities.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Timberon, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Timberon looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Timberon is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 26%, about 10 points above the New Mexico average of 16%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 31% of adults in Timberon report food insecurity, above 96% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and more than 99% of adults in Timberon have completed high school, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Sunspot, NM R+74
- Sacramento, NM R+76
- Weed, NM R+75
- Pinon, NM R+79
- Cloudcroft, NM R+31
- High Rolls Mountain Park, NM R+44
- Mayhill, NM R+44
- Alamogordo, NM R+23
- Holloman AFB, NM R+12
- Mountain Park, NM R+31
Cities with Similar Populations
- Aleppo, PA R+58
- Nutbush, TN D+16
- West Point, AR R+58
- Perrysburg, IN R+62
- Oakley, VA R+31
- Oakville, OR R+36
- Danciger, TX R+57
- South Danby, NY D+57
- Melvin, KY R+60
- Mellott, IN R+67
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.