Oak Beach leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Oak Beach typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Oak Beach, ~31% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Oak Beach compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Oak Beach leans more Republican than 102 of 195 neighbors.
Oak Beach runs about 24 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Oak Beach is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Oak Beach leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Oak Beach, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 3% of residents in Oak Beach live in densely developed areas, about 33 points below the New York average of 36%. Oak Beach runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Oak Beach, NY does.
Why turnout in Oak Beach looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Oak Beach is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and more than 99% of households in Oak Beach own their home, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Oak Beach have completed high school, above 95% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Saltaire, NY R+2
- Babylon, NY R+14
- West Islip, NY R+34
- Fire Island, NY D+6
- Brightwaters, NY R+9
- Lindenhurst, NY R+28
- Bay Shore, NY D+7
- Ocean Beach, NY D+10
- Copiague, NY Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zell, SD R+61
- Amity, MO R+67
- Yetter, IA R+57
- Reedyville, KY R+38
- Marienthal, KS R+79
- Ringgold, OH R+60
- Eldena, IL R+36
- Stirling City, CA R+25
- Locke Station, MS R+11
- Rathbun, IA R+53
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.