Oak Vale is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 84% of adults in Oak Vale typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Oak Vale, ~44% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~16% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Oak Vale compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Oak Vale leans more Democratic than 32 of 40 neighbors.
Oak Vale runs about 27 points more Democratic than Mississippi as a whole. Mississippi leans Republican overall, while Oak Vale is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Oak Vale. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+28) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+25), a spread of about 53 points.
Why Oak Vale leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Oak Vale, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Oak Vale votes against the grain of Mississippi. Mississippi leans Republican overall, while Oak Vale runs about 27 points more Democratic.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Oak Vale, MS sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Oak Vale looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Oak Vale is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 8%, about 52 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Society Hill, MS R+34
- Tilton, MS R+81
- White Bluff, MS R+72
- Carson, MS R+38
- Silver Creek, MS D+8
- Robinwood, MS R+59
- Expose, MS R+60
- Prentiss, MS D+25
- Sartinsville, MS R+57
Cities with Similar Populations
- Pea Ridge, AL R+87
- Tennessee, IL R+47
- Parkersburg, NC R+18
- Masterson Mill, AL R+78
- Black, AL R+87
- Range, WI R+34
- Chester, OH R+63
- Twin Groves, AR R+56
- Annetta South, TX R+62
- Hall, NY R+31
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.