Carson leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 86% of adults in Carson typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Carson, ~27% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Carson compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Carson leans more Republican than 21 of 42 neighbors.
Carson runs about 15 points more Republican than Mississippi as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Carson. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+50) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+11), a spread of about 38 points.
Why Carson leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Carson, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 12% of adults in Carson hold a bachelor's degree, about 7 points below the Mississippi average of 19%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Carson, MS sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Carson looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Carson is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 9%, about 51 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Terrell, MS D+13
- Bassfield, MS R+14
- Society Hill, MS R+34
- Prentiss, MS D+25
- Oak Vale, MS D+4
- McRaney, MS D+15
- Mount Carmel, MS D+25
- Williamsburg, MS R+58
- Silver Creek, MS D+8
Cities with Similar Populations
- Alton, MO R+66
- Ingomar, MS R+71
- Bentleyville, OH D+20
- Freehold, NY R+26
- Sun, MI R+45
- Fairview Park, IN R+47
- Stanley Junction, TN R+74
- Posen, MI R+45
- Great River, NY R+17
- Lloyd, FL R+36
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.