Oak Valley is a Republican stronghold. About 22% of voters here vote Democratic and 78% Republican.
About 57% of adults in Oak Valley typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Oak Valley, ~12% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Oak Valley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Oak Valley leans more Republican than 21 of 55 neighbors.
Oak Valley runs about 43 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Oak Valley. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+69) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+52), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Oak Valley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Oak Valley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 88% of residents in Oak Valley drive to work alone, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Oak Valley sits in the bottom quarter (about 14%, below 83% of cities). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in Oak Valley are family households, above 87% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Oak Valley, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Oak Valley looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Oak Valley is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 42%, about 12 points below the Texas average of 54%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Corbet, TX R+64
- Retreat, TX R+69
- Pickett, TX R+69
- Drane, TX R+48
- Corsicana, TX R+16
- Angus, TX R+69
- Silver City, TX R+70
- Barry, TX R+58
- Navarro, TX R+69
- Emhouse, TX R+46
Cities with Similar Populations
- Palo, MN R+25
- Kinderhook, MI R+45
- Handle, MS R+44
- Wetmore, CO R+42
- Islesboro, ME D+28
- Quincy, MO R+68
- Belsano, PA R+58
- Folsomdale, NY R+50
- West Leyden, NY R+58
- Mount Carbon, WV R+16
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.