Oakdale leans heavily Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 85% of adults in Oakdale typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Oakdale, ~30% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Oakdale compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Oakdale leans more Republican than 141 of 147 neighbors.
Oakdale runs about 43 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Oakdale is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Oakdale. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+38) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+25), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Oakdale leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Oakdale, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Oakdale votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 72%, far above the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Oakdale runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Oakdale, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Oakdale looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Oakdale is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Oakdale have completed high school, above 87% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- West Sayville, NY R+18
- Great River, NY R+17
- Bohemia, NY R+33
- Sayville, NY R+18
- North Great River, NY R+29
- East Islip, NY R+30
- Islip Terrace, NY R+26
- Bayport, NY R+19
- Islip, NY R+20
- Central Islip, NY D+27
Cities with Similar Populations
- Poteet, TX R+20
- Kronenwetter, WI R+14
- Wilson, PA D+8
- Bridgeville, DE R+16
- Eldon, MO R+57
- Hohenwald, TN R+65
- Wyoming, OH D+34
- Riviera Beach, MD R+20
- West Vero Corridor, FL R+26
- Ivins, UT R+40
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.