Warren Plains leans heavily Democratic by roughly 42 points: about 71% of voters vote Democratic and 29% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Warren Plains typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Warren Plains, ~50% vote Democratic, ~20% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Warren Plains compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Warren Plains leans more Democratic than 66 of 67 neighbors.
Warren Plains runs about 46 points more Democratic than North Carolina as a whole. North Carolina leans Republican overall, while Warren Plains is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why Warren Plains leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Warren Plains, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Warren Plains votes against the grain of North Carolina. North Carolina leans Republican overall, while Warren Plains runs about 46 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 34% of adults in Warren Plains have never been married, above 85% of cities.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Warren Plains, NC sits above the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Warren Plains looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Warren Plains is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 49%, about 12 points below the North Carolina average of 61%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Warrenton, NC D+34
- Oakville, NC R+3
- Norlina, NC D+15
- Embro, NC D+9
- Oine, NC D+18
- Macon, NC R+19
- Manson, NC D+28
- Soul City, NC D+13
- Middleburg, NC D+8
Cities with Similar Populations
- Oneida, KY R+79
- New Freeport, PA R+58
- Belspring, VA R+35
- Russell, MS R+18
- Darco, TX R+55
- Hinkle, KY R+77
- Bangs, OH R+58
- Shamrock Lakes, IN R+52
- Page Hollow, VA R+60
- Owltown, GA R+58
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.