Ojo Caliente leans Democratic by roughly 18 points: about 59% of voters vote Democratic and 41% Republican.
About 65% of adults in Ojo Caliente typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ojo Caliente, ~38% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ojo Caliente compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Ojo Caliente leans more Democratic than 14 of 52 neighbors.
Ojo Caliente runs about 12 points more Democratic than New Mexico as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Ojo Caliente. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+39) and the west side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+13), a spread of about 26 points.
Why Ojo Caliente leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ojo Caliente, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 35% of adults in Ojo Caliente hold a bachelor's degree, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Ojo Caliente, NM does.
Why turnout in Ojo Caliente looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. More than 99% of adults in Ojo Caliente have completed high school, about 12 points above the New Mexico average of 87%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Ojo Caliente sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- La Junta, NM D+13
- Lyden, NM D+15
- Las Placitas, NM D+24
- Velarde, NM D+15
- Lamadera, NM D+32
- Medanales, NM D+20
- Estaca, NM D+16
- El Rito, NM D+26
- Los Luceros, NM D+15
- Embudo, NM D+20
Cities with Similar Populations
- Acme, WA Even
- Ozone, AR R+63
- Longview, LA R+86
- Longtown, TN D+33
- Allenport, PA R+32
- Kieler, WI R+43
- Wayside, WV R+53
- Woods Mills, NY R+15
- Weed Heights, NV R+52
- Waucoma, IA R+45
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.