Old City-Produce and Waterfront is a Democratic stronghold. About 80% of voters here vote Democratic and 20% Republican.
About 50% of adults in Old City-Produce and Waterfront typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Old City-Produce and Waterfront, ~40% vote Democratic, ~10% Republican, and ~50% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Old City-Produce and Waterfront compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Old City-Produce and Waterfront leans more Democratic than 10 of 59 neighbors.
Old City-Produce and Waterfront runs about 40 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Old City-Produce and Waterfront. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+81) and the west side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+42), a spread of about 39 points.
Why Old City-Produce and Waterfront leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Old City-Produce and Waterfront, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 66% of adults in Old City-Produce and Waterfront hold a bachelor's degree, about 38 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 61% of adults in Old City-Produce and Waterfront have never been married, above 94% of neighborhoods.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Old City-Produce and Waterfront, Oakland, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Old City-Produce and Waterfront looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 66% of households in Old City-Produce and Waterfront rent, about 41 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Lakewide, Oakland, CA D+75
- Downtown Oakland, Oakland, CA D+66
- San Pablo Gateway, Oakland, CA D+69
- Acorn, Oakland, CA D+69
- Merritt, Oakland, CA D+64
- McClymonds, Oakland, CA D+71
- Adams Point, Oakland, CA D+82
- Cleveland Heights, Oakland, CA D+74
- Pill Hill, Oakland, CA D+79
- Hoover-Foster, Oakland, CA D+76
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Bivins Addition, Amarillo, TX R+18
- Fairwood Greens, Fairwood, WA D+31
- Sonterra-Stone Oak, San Antonio, TX R+2
- Oakdale South, Charlotte, NC D+60
- Michigan-Martin, Detroit, MI D+36
- Forest Park, Baltimore, MD D+86
- Central Business District, Cincinnati, OH D+52
- South Manchaca, Austin, TX D+52
- Downtown Southfield, Southfield, MI D+87
- Glenham-Belhar, Baltimore, MD D+74
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.