Old North End is a Democratic stronghold. About 86% of voters here vote Democratic and 14% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 55% of adults in Old North End typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Old North End, ~47% vote Democratic, ~8% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Old North End compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Old North End is the most Democratic-leaning.
Old North End runs about 39 points more Democratic than Vermont as a whole.
Why Old North End leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Old North End, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 72% of adults in Old North End have never been married, modestly above similar-sized neighborhoods (around 59%). High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Old North End sits in the top quarter (about 57%, above 78% of neighborhoods).
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Old North End, Burlington, VT sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Old North End looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 76% of households in Old North End rent, about 51 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Old North End sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Centennial, Burlington, VT D+68
- South End, Burlington, VT D+68
- South Burlington North, South Burlington, VT D+36
- New North End, Burlington, VT D+47
- Malletts Bay, Colchester, VT D+8
- Williston North, Williston, VT D+25
- Lower Village District, Claremont, NH R+13
- Franklin Falls, Franklin, NH R+4
- Vale and Eastern Avenue, Schenectady, NY D+42
- West End, Concord, NH D+48
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Torrey Pines, San Diego, CA D+55
- Highland, Denver, CO D+59
- Mount Bowdoin, Boston, MA D+65
- Eastwick, Philadelphia, PA D+76
- Deerwood, Jacksonville, FL R+8
- Dock Square, Boston, MA D+53
- Pleasant Valley, Austin, TX D+56
- Denby, Detroit, MI D+85
- Riverside, Austin, TX D+49
- Atlantic Beaches, Atlantic Beach, FL R+15
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.