Centennial is a Democratic stronghold. About 84% of voters here vote Democratic and 16% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 47% of adults in Centennial typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Centennial, ~40% vote Democratic, ~7% Republican, and ~53% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Centennial compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Centennial leans more Democratic than 2 of 4 neighbors.
Centennial runs about 36 points more Democratic than Vermont as a whole.
Why Centennial leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Centennial, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 67% of adults in Centennial hold a bachelor's degree, about 38 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 77% of adults in Centennial have never been married, in the top fraction of neighborhoods.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Centennial, Burlington, VT sits above the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Centennial looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 79% of households in Centennial rent, about 54 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and more than 99% of adults in Centennial have completed high school, above 96% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Old North End, Burlington, VT D+72
- South End, Burlington, VT D+68
- South Burlington North, South Burlington, VT D+36
- New North End, Burlington, VT D+47
- Malletts Bay, Colchester, VT D+8
- Williston North, Williston, VT D+25
- Lower Village District, Claremont, NH R+13
- Franklin Falls, Franklin, NH R+4
- West End, Concord, NH D+48
- South End, Concord, NH D+34
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Donaldson Terrace, San Antonio, TX D+31
- Cloutier Court, Wilmington, DE D+26
- Broadacres Homes, Athens, GA D+56
- Reichlieu, Mobile, AL D+21
- Wedge, Woodinville, WA D+36
- Boltons Landing, Charleston, SC D+7
- Garden Home-Raleigh Hills, Portland, OR D+55
- Willamette, Albany, OR D+2
- West Laurel, Laurel, MD D+41
- Coytesville, Fort Lee, NJ D+17
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.