New North End leans heavily Democratic by roughly 48 points: about 74% of voters vote Democratic and 26% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 76% of adults in New North End typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in New North End, ~56% vote Democratic, ~20% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How New North End compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, New North End leans more Democratic than 1 of 4 neighbors.
New North End runs about 15 points more Democratic than Vermont as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within New North End. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+56) and the north side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+40), a spread of about 16 points.
Why New North End leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for New North End, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 56% of adults in New North End hold a bachelor's degree, about 28 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Uninsured rate and voter turnout
Places with a low uninsured rate tend to turn out at a higher rate; New North End, Burlington, VT sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Insurance coverage does not directly drive turnout; it reflects the income and stability that line up with who votes.
Why turnout in New North End looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. New North End is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 75%, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Malletts Bay, Colchester, VT D+8
- Old North End, Burlington, VT D+72
- Centennial, Burlington, VT D+68
- South End, Burlington, VT D+68
- South Burlington North, South Burlington, VT D+36
- Williston North, Williston, VT D+25
- Lower Village District, Claremont, NH R+13
- Franklin Falls, Franklin, NH R+4
- Vale and Eastern Avenue, Schenectady, NY D+42
- Hamilton Hills, Schenectady, NY D+42
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Seventh Ward, New Orleans, LA D+78
- Litte Italy, Niagara Falls, NY D+26
- Townsite, Oceanside, CA D+31
- Belltown, Seattle, WA D+62
- Falls of Neuse, Raleigh, NC D+31
- Downtown, Las Vegas, NV D+39
- Heritage District, Sunnyvale, CA D+43
- Brays Oaks, Houston, TX D+42
- LaGrange, Toledo, OH D+65
- South East Torrance, Torrance, CA D+16
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.