Oneida is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican.
About 49% of adults in Oneida typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Oneida, ~24% vote Democratic, ~25% Republican, and ~51% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Oneida compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Oneida sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 27 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 24 leaning the other way.
Oneida runs about 30 points more Democratic than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Oneida. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (Even) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+37), a spread of about 38 points.
Why Oneida leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Oneida. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Oneida, AR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Oneida looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Oneida is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 43%, about 9 points below the Arkansas average of 51%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 48% of households in Oneida rent, about 23 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 32% of adults in Oneida report food insecurity, above 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lake View, AR Even
- Barton, AR R+37
- Helena, AR D+18
- Helena Crossing, AR D+16
- West Helena, AR R+6
- Kingtown, AR Even
- Poplar Grove, AR R+20
- Friars Point, MS D+67
- Lexa, AR R+45
Cities with Similar Populations
- Longview, MO R+72
- Lordville, NY R+39
- Rockwest, AL R+21
- Gile, WI R+32
- Mount Blanco, TX R+72
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.