Orange Factory, NC Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Orange Factory

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Orange Factory leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.

 

About 87% of adults in Orange Factory typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Orange Factory, ~49% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Orange Factory compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Orange Factory leans more Democratic than 36 of 46 neighbors.

Orange Factory runs about 15 points more Democratic than North Carolina as a whole. North Carolina leans Republican overall, while Orange Factory is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Why Orange Factory leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Orange Factory, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 50% of adults in Orange Factory hold a bachelor's degree, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting, and non-Hispanic white share in Orange Factory is about 60%, below 84% of cities. Orange Factory runs against the grain of North Carolina, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.

Population density and Democratic lean

Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Orange Factory, NC sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Orange Factory looks the way it does

Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 94% of households in Orange Factory own their home, about 20 points above the North Carolina average of 74%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Orange Factory have completed high school, above 92% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.