Orange Lake, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Orange Lake

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Orange Lake leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican.

 

About 72% of adults in Orange Lake typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Orange Lake, ~42% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Orange Lake compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Orange Lake leans more Democratic than 120 of 148 neighbors.

Politically, Orange Lake sits close to the rest of New York.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Orange Lake. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+49) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (Even), a spread of about 51 points.

Why Orange Lake leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Orange Lake, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Dense areas vote Democratic. About 76% of residents in Orange Lake live in densely developed areas, about 39 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Orange Lake sits in the top quarter (about 40%, above 87% of cities).

Population density and Democratic lean

Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Orange Lake, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Orange Lake looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Orange Lake is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.