New Windsor leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 69% of adults in New Windsor typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in New Windsor, ~36% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How New Windsor compares
Among cities within 25 miles, New Windsor leans more Democratic than 121 of 160 neighbors.
New Windsor runs about 6 points more Republican than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within New Windsor. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+15) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+9), a spread of about 24 points.
Why New Windsor leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for New Windsor, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 61% of residents in New Windsor live in densely developed areas, about 25 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and New Windsor sits in the top quarter (about 38%, above 85% of cities). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 32% of adults in New Windsor have never been married, above 80% of cities.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; New Windsor, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in New Windsor looks the way it does
Turnout in New Windsor sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Cornwall, NY D+3
- Cornwall On Hudson, NY D+7
- Newburgh, NY D+26
- Salisbury Mills, NY R+13
- Mountainville, NY Even
- Orange Lake, NY D+16
- Rock Tavern, NY R+20
- Beacon, NY D+32
- Coldenham, NY R+29
Cities with Similar Populations
- Edgewater, CO D+39
- Sidney, OH R+46
- Farmington, NM R+33
- Imperial Beach, CA D+16
- Wakefield, MA D+25
- Clemson, SC D+6
- Sherwood, OR D+14
- Ashland, CA D+45
- Macungie, PA R+3
- Inkster, MI D+71
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.