Newburgh leans Democratic by roughly 26 points: about 63% of voters vote Democratic and 37% Republican.
About 55% of adults in Newburgh typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Newburgh, ~35% vote Democratic, ~20% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Newburgh compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Newburgh leans more Democratic than 138 of 153 neighbors.
Newburgh runs about 13 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Newburgh. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+57) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+9), a spread of about 65 points.
Why Newburgh leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Newburgh, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 74% of residents in Newburgh live in densely developed areas, about 38 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 42% of adults in Newburgh have never been married, above 95% of cities.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Newburgh, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Newburgh looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Newburgh is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 47% of households in Newburgh rent, compared to around 22% in nearby cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 25% of adults in Newburgh report food insecurity, above 90% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Orange Lake, NY D+16
- Beacon, NY D+32
- New Windsor, NY D+7
- Cornwall On Hudson, NY D+7
- Cornwall, NY D+3
- Coldenham, NY R+29
- St. Andrew, NY R+26
- Marlboro, NY R+8
- Rock Tavern, NY R+20
Cities with Similar Populations
- East Honolulu, HI D+25
- Madison, MS R+36
- North Miami Beach, FL D+20
- Lake Stevens, WA R+4
- Oro Valley, AZ D+3
- Brea, CA R+2
- Lagrange, GA Even
- Brighton, MA D+61
- Downingtown, PA D+14
- New Albany, IN R+6
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.