Coldenham leans Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 88% of adults in Coldenham typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Coldenham, ~31% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~12% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Coldenham compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Coldenham leans more Republican than 143 of 150 neighbors.
Coldenham runs about 42 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Coldenham is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Coldenham leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Coldenham, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Coldenham votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 22%, modestly below the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 83% of households in Coldenham are family households, above 94% of cities. Coldenham runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Coldenham, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Coldenham looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 97% of households in Coldenham own their home, about 20 points above the New York average of 76%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Orange Lake, NY D+16
- Walden, NY R+11
- Rock Tavern, NY R+20
- Morrison Heights, NY R+24
- Maybrook, NY Even
- St. Andrew, NY R+26
- Montgomery, NY R+19
- Lake Osiris Colony, NY R+26
- New Windsor, NY D+7
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zetto, GA D+9
- Peanut, PA R+42
- Pepper, VA R+30
- Rowell, SC R+32
- Luystown, MO R+70
- Rosewood, TX R+77
- Yankeetown, TN R+72
- Yantisville, IL R+65
- Cooks, MI R+26
- Snoqualmie Pass, WA R+13
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.