Orchard Mesa leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 86% of adults in Orchard Mesa typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Orchard Mesa, ~32% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Orchard Mesa compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Orchard Mesa leans more Republican than 4 of 13 neighbors.
Orchard Mesa runs about 38 points more Republican than Colorado as a whole. Colorado leans Democratic overall, while Orchard Mesa is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Orchard Mesa leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Orchard Mesa, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Orchard Mesa votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 81%, far above the Colorado average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Orchard Mesa runs against the grain of Colorado, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Orchard Mesa, CO sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Orchard Mesa looks the way it does
Turnout in Orchard Mesa sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Grand Junction, CO R+11
- Clifton, CO R+26
- Fruitvale, CO R+30
- Redlands, CO R+10
- Whitewater, CO R+41
- Palisade, CO R+25
- Fruita, CO R+28
- Glade Park, CO R+39
- Gilsonite, CO R+49
- Loma, CO R+54
Cities with Similar Populations
- Bondurant, IA R+18
- Cottontown, TN R+62
- Slingerlands, NY D+29
- Westwego, LA R+11
- Marshville, NC R+37
- Lanoka Harbor, NJ R+42
- Washington, IA R+25
- Congers, NY R+7
- August, CA D+15
- Germantown, OH R+51
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Colorado Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.