Oxon Hill is a Democratic stronghold. About 88% of voters here vote Democratic and 12% Republican.
About 62% of adults in Oxon Hill typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Oxon Hill, ~55% vote Democratic, ~7% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Oxon Hill compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Oxon Hill leans more Democratic than 171 of 202 neighbors.
Oxon Hill runs about 46 points more Democratic than Maryland as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Oxon Hill. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+81) and the north side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+66), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Oxon Hill leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Oxon Hill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 79% of residents in Oxon Hill live in densely developed areas, about 42 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Oxon Hill sits in the top quarter (about 35%, above 82% of cities). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 40% of adults in Oxon Hill have never been married, above 94% of cities.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Oxon Hill, MD sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Oxon Hill looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Oxon Hill is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Forest Heights, MD D+76
- Glassmanor, MD D+81
- Temple Hills, MD D+86
- Fort Washington, MD D+76
- Marlow Heights, MD D+83
- Hillcrest Heights, MD D+87
- Camp Springs, MD D+83
- Belle View, VA D+44
- Huntington, VA D+57
- Clinton, MD D+79
Cities with Similar Populations
- Newport, TN R+61
- Tarzana, CA D+21
- South Amboy, NJ R+13
- Glen Avon, CA D+4
- Hopkins, MN D+43
- Old Hickory, TN R+18
- Harrison, OH R+51
- Buckhall, VA D+5
- South Milwaukee, WI D+5
- Rosedale, MD D+28
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.