Buckhall leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 83% of adults in Buckhall typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Buckhall, ~44% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Buckhall compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Buckhall leans more Democratic than 37 of 125 neighbors.
Politically, Buckhall sits close to the rest of Virginia.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Buckhall. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+18) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+16), a spread of about 35 points.
Why Buckhall leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Buckhall, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 60% of residents in Buckhall live in densely developed areas, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Buckhall sits in the top quarter (about 52%, above 94% of cities).
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Buckhall, VA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Buckhall looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Buckhall is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Manassas, VA D+10
- Manassas Park, VA D+19
- Yorkshire, VA D+12
- Sudley, VA D+18
- Bristow, VA R+23
- Bull Run, VA D+25
- Nokesville, VA R+27
- Clifton, VA D+19
- Linton Hall, VA D+9
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hopkins, MN D+43
- Glen Avon, CA D+4
- Oxon Hill, MD D+75
- Newport, TN R+61
- Fairwood, WA D+31
- Tarzana, CA D+21
- South Amboy, NJ R+13
- Old Hickory, TN R+18
- Alum Rock, CA D+29
- Harrison, OH R+51
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.