Padelford leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Padelford typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Padelford, ~37% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Padelford compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Padelford leans more Republican than 29 of 110 neighbors.
Padelford runs about 21 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Padelford is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Padelford leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Padelford, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Padelford votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Padelford runs about 21 points more Republican.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a low uninsured rate tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Padelford, NY does.
Why turnout in Padelford looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Padelford is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Padelford have completed high school, above 94% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Farmington, NY R+4
- Centerfield, NY R+7
- Chapin, NY R+18
- Canandaigua, NY D+4
- Shortsville, NY R+22
- East Victor, NY R+5
- East Bloomfield, NY R+11
- Manchester, NY R+20
- Victor, NY D+3
- Hopewell Center, NY R+27
Cities with Similar Populations
- Springbrook, WI R+39
- Forrest, IL R+47
- Cross Plains, TX R+76
- Lebec, CA R+32
- Husum, WA D+15
- Kilmichael, MS R+12
- Paradis, LA R+65
- Fairplay, MD R+43
- Cedar Heights, NJ Even
- Devereaux, MI R+36
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.