Padua leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Padua typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Padua, ~21% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Padua compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Padua leans more Republican than 15 of 56 neighbors.
Padua runs about 50 points more Republican than Illinois as a whole. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Padua is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Padua. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+45) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+29), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Padua leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Padua, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Padua votes against the grain of Illinois. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Padua runs about 50 points more Republican. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 85% of residents in Padua drive to work alone, above 83% of cities. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in Padua are family households, above 76% of cities.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Padua, IL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Padua looks the way it does
Turnout in Padua sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Ellsworth, IL R+45
- Holder, IL R+30
- Downs, IL R+32
- Le Roy, IL R+35
- Cooksville, IL R+51
- Arrowsmith, IL R+45
- Sabina, IL R+48
- Bloomington, IL D+11
- Towanda, IL R+32
- Randolph, IL R+34
Cities with Similar Populations
- Morristown, WV R+62
- Kenmar, PA R+41
- Palsgrove, IL R+41
- Mount Hermon, NJ R+36
- Bisbee, ND R+40
- Thendara, NY R+11
- Bickleton, WA R+45
- Damar, KS R+76
- Johnsons Chapel, TN R+62
- Nelson, AZ R+53
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Illinois State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.