Pagedale is a Democratic stronghold. About 91% of voters here vote Democratic and 9% Republican.
About 52% of adults in Pagedale typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Pagedale, ~47% vote Democratic, ~5% Republican, and ~48% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Pagedale compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Pagedale leans more Democratic than 160 of 175 neighbors.
Pagedale runs about 101 points more Democratic than Missouri as a whole. Missouri leans Republican overall, while Pagedale is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why Pagedale leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Pagedale, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 97% of residents in Pagedale live in densely developed areas, about 61 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 52% of adults in Pagedale have never been married, above 98% of cities. Pagedale runs against the grain of Missouri, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Pagedale, MO sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Pagedale looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 49% of households in Pagedale rent, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Pagedale sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 34% of adults in Pagedale report food insecurity, above 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hanley Hills, MO D+76
- Wellston, MO D+83
- Greendale, MO D+78
- Vinita Terrace, MO D+68
- Hillsdale, MO D+85
- University City, MO D+69
- Velda City, MO D+87
- Velda Village Hills, MO D+87
- Vinita Park, MO D+66
- Glen Echo Park, MO D+47
Cities with Similar Populations
- Dallas Center, IA R+32
- Dillonvale, OH R+49
- Salem, AR R+61
- Pecos, NM D+15
- Smithton, PA R+46
- McKee, KY R+73
- Penns Neck, NJ D+37
- Lewisburg, KY R+65
- Crosby, MN R+28
- Mansfield, MO R+69
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.