Palm Coast leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 83% of adults in Palm Coast typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Palm Coast, ~30% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Palm Coast compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Palm Coast leans more Republican than 9 of 28 neighbors.
Palm Coast runs about 14 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Palm Coast. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+36) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+20), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Palm Coast leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Palm Coast, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Palm Coast votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 75%, well above the Florida average of 57%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Palm Coast, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Palm Coast looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Palm Coast is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 60%, below 55% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Beverly Beach, FL R+39
- Espanola, FL R+53
- Flagler Beach, FL R+37
- Bunnell, FL R+38
- Dupont, FL R+43
- Flagler Estates, FL R+58
- St. Johns Park, FL R+49
- Codys Corner, FL R+54
- Ormond-by-the-Sea, FL R+17
Cities with Similar Populations
- Goodyear, AZ R+8
- St. George, UT R+45
- Westerville, OH D+15
- Livonia, MI Even
- Newnan, GA R+15
- Hemet, CA R+5
- Suffolk, VA D+20
- Conyers, GA D+44
- Idaho Falls, ID R+40
- Tomball, TX R+27
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.