Flagler Estates is a Republican stronghold. About 21% of voters here vote Democratic and 79% Republican.
About 65% of adults in Flagler Estates typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Flagler Estates, ~14% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Flagler Estates compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Flagler Estates leans more Republican than 32 of 42 neighbors.
Flagler Estates runs about 45 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Why Flagler Estates leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Flagler Estates, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 14% of adults in Flagler Estates hold a bachelor's degree, about 17 points below the Florida average of 31%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Flagler Estates are family households, above 77% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Flagler Estates, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Flagler Estates looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Flagler Estates is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hastings, FL R+28
- Spuds, FL R+27
- Yelvington, FL R+48
- East Palatka, FL R+48
- San Mateo, FL R+59
- Elkton, FL R+51
- Orange Mills, FL R+65
- Lundy, FL R+63
- Vermont Heights, FL R+40
Cities with Similar Populations
- Venetian Village, IL D+6
- Montague, NJ R+35
- Haskell, TX R+58
- Rocky Top, TN R+61
- Aldan, PA D+40
- Sandia, TX R+60
- Burkesville, KY R+65
- Cajahs Mountain, NC R+53
- Custer, SD R+49
- Priceville, AL R+63
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.