Goodyear, AZ Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Goodyear

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Goodyear leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.

 

About 71% of adults in Goodyear typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Goodyear, ~33% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Goodyear compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Goodyear leans more Republican than 12 of 26 neighbors.

Politically, Goodyear sits close to the rest of Arizona.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Goodyear. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+7) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+23), a spread of about 30 points.

Why Goodyear leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Goodyear, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Goodyear votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 76%, far above the Arizona average of 39%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Goodyear are family households, above 79% of cities.

Paved land cover and Democratic lean

Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Goodyear, AZ sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.

Why turnout in Goodyear looks the way it does

Turnout in Goodyear sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.