Palmer leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 63% of adults in Palmer typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Palmer, ~16% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Palmer compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Palmer leans more Republican than 31 of 57 neighbors.
Palmer runs about 35 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Palmer. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+64) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+38), a spread of about 26 points.
Why Palmer leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Palmer, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 81% of households in Palmer are family households, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Palmer, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Palmer looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Palmer is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 21%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 10%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Ike, TX R+40
- Garrett, TX R+33
- Ferris, TX R+27
- Crisp, TX R+69
- Pecan Hill, TX R+44
- India, TX R+41
- Ennis, TX R+28
- Red Oak, TX R+12
- Waxahachie, TX R+30
Cities with Similar Populations
- Bay Harbor Islands, FL R+15
- Barboursville, VA R+14
- Stanardsville, VA R+37
- Orchard Homes, MT D+3
- Homer, NY R+16
- Williamson, AZ R+39
- North Fond du Lac, WI R+19
- Fall City, WA D+23
- New Egypt, NJ R+40
- Rowley, MA D+10
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.