Orchard Homes is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.
About 86% of adults in Orchard Homes typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Orchard Homes, ~44% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Orchard Homes compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Orchard Homes sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 16 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 1 leaning the other way.
Orchard Homes runs about 23 points more Democratic than Montana as a whole. Montana leans Republican overall, while Orchard Homes sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Orchard Homes. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+15) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+2), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Orchard Homes leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Orchard Homes, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Orchard Homes votes against the grain of Montana. Montana leans Republican overall, while Orchard Homes runs about 23 points more Democratic.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Orchard Homes, MT sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Orchard Homes looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Orchard Homes is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Orchard Homes have completed high school, above 85% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Missoula, MT D+25
- Lolo, MT R+17
- Milltown, MT R+3
- Frenchtown, MT R+35
- Florence, MT R+41
- Bonner, MT R+22
- Twin Creeks, MT R+13
- Clinton, MT R+24
- Ninemile, MT R+29
- Huson, MT R+29
Cities with Similar Populations
- Homer, NY R+16
- Stanardsville, VA R+37
- Williamson, AZ R+39
- New Egypt, NJ R+40
- Fall City, WA D+23
- Palmer, TX R+49
- Barboursville, VA R+14
- Bay Harbor Islands, FL R+15
- North Fond du Lac, WI R+19
- Staunton, IL R+35
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Montana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.