Paradise leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 82% of adults in Paradise typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Paradise, ~33% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Paradise compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Paradise leans more Republican than 6 of 30 neighbors.
Paradise runs about 39 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Paradise is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Paradise. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+32) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+14), a spread of about 18 points.
Why Paradise leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Paradise, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Paradise votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 51%, modestly below the California average of 58%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts. Paradise runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Paradise, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Paradise looks the way it does
Turnout in Paradise sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Concow, CA R+26
- Pentz, CA R+36
- Magalia, CA R+19
- Nimshew, CA R+20
- Butte Valley, CA R+25
- Yankee Hill, CA R+23
- Pulga, CA R+24
- Forest Ranch, CA R+22
- Stirling City, CA R+25
- Richardson Springs, CA Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- West Hazleton, PA R+13
- Salmon, ID R+59
- St. Leonard, MD R+25
- Salem, SC R+48
- Halethorpe, MD D+12
- Trenton, IL R+39
- Culleoka, TN R+62
- Freedom, PA R+33
- Iowa Falls, IA R+34
- Coxsackie, NY D+8
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.