Paradise leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About 87% of adults in Paradise typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Paradise, ~23% vote Democratic, ~64% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Paradise compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Paradise leans more Republican than 40 of 75 neighbors.
Paradise runs about 27 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why Paradise leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Paradise. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; Paradise, MO sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in Paradise looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Paradise is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lilly, MO R+53
- Smithville, MO R+39
- Mecca, MO R+52
- Trimble, MO R+52
- Ridgely, MO R+49
- Holt, MO R+49
- Kearney, MO R+33
- Edgerton, MO R+51
- Plattsburg, MO R+43
- Chandler, MO R+38
Cities with Similar Populations
- Jaketown, MS R+38
- Hooker, AR R+53
- Kinterbish, AL D+54
- Kief, ND R+61
- Ingleside, PA R+39
- Lintner, IL R+58
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.