Paradise Valley, Phoenix, AZ Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Paradise Valley

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Paradise Valley is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican.

 

About 71% of adults in Paradise Valley typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Paradise Valley, ~35% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Paradise Valley compares

Paradise Valley runs about 5 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by block within Paradise Valley. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+5) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+8), a spread of about 14 points.

Why Paradise Valley leans the way it does

Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Paradise Valley. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.

Income per capita and voter turnout

Places with high per-capita income tend to turn out at a higher rate; Paradise Valley, Phoenix, AZ sits above the national average on this measure.

Why turnout in Paradise Valley looks the way it does

Turnout in Paradise Valley sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.