Deer Valley leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Deer Valley typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Deer Valley, ~30% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Deer Valley compares
Politically, Deer Valley sits close to the rest of Arizona.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Deer Valley. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+7) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+20), a spread of about 27 points.
Why Deer Valley leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Deer Valley. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Deer Valley, Phoenix, AZ sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Deer Valley looks the way it does
Turnout in Deer Valley sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- North Mountain, Phoenix, AZ D+9
- Cactus Gale, Glendale, AZ R+11
- Greenbriar, Glendale, AZ R+4
- Paradise Valley, Phoenix, AZ Even
- Desert Hills, Cave Creek, AZ R+23
- North Gateway, Phoenix, AZ R+14
- Desert View, Phoenix, AZ R+12
- Peacock Village, Peoria, AZ R+17
- Windsor Square, Glendale, AZ Even
- Camino Lago, Phoenix, AZ R+27
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- South Bronx, Bronx, NY D+50
- Flushing, Queens, NY Even
- Upper East Side, Manhattan, NY D+56
- Paradise Valley, Phoenix, AZ Even
- Borough Park, Brooklyn, NY R+33
- Far North Dallas, Dallas, TX D+21
- North Mountain, Phoenix, AZ D+9
- Southeast Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA D+49
- East Brooklyn, Brooklyn, NY D+58
- Powers, Colorado Springs, CO R+4
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.