North Mountain leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.
About 55% of adults in North Mountain typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in North Mountain, ~30% vote Democratic, ~25% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How North Mountain compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, North Mountain leans more Democratic than 3 of 5 neighbors.
North Mountain runs about 14 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while North Mountain is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within North Mountain. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+25) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+5), a spread of about 30 points.
Why North Mountain leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for North Mountain, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
North Mountain votes against the grain of Arizona. Arizona leans Republican overall, while North Mountain runs about 14 points more Democratic.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; North Mountain, Phoenix, AZ sits above the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in North Mountain looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. North Mountain is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Cactus Gale, Glendale, AZ R+11
- Greenbriar, Glendale, AZ R+4
- Windsor Square, Glendale, AZ Even
- Alahambra, Phoenix, AZ D+27
- Downtown Glendale, Glendale, AZ D+16
- Deer Valley, Phoenix, AZ R+8
- Paradise Valley, Phoenix, AZ Even
- Encanto, Phoenix, AZ D+38
- Ironwood Terrace, Glendale, AZ D+27
- Bronze Boot, Phoenix, AZ D+36
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- East Brooklyn, Brooklyn, NY D+58
- Far North Dallas, Dallas, TX D+21
- Borough Park, Brooklyn, NY R+33
- Powers, Colorado Springs, CO R+4
- Paradise Valley, Phoenix, AZ Even
- Upper East Side, Manhattan, NY D+56
- South Bronx, Bronx, NY D+50
- Jackson Heights-ny, Queens, NY D+18
- Deer Valley, Phoenix, AZ R+8
- Southeast Dallas, Dallas, TX D+37
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.