Kinzua leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Kinzua typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kinzua, ~17% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Kinzua compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Kinzua leans more Republican than 2 of 9 neighbors.
Kinzua runs about 63 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Kinzua is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Kinzua leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Kinzua, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 1% of residents in Kinzua live in densely developed areas, about 30 points below the Oregon average of 31%. Kinzua runs against the grain of Oregon, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Kinzua, OR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Kinzua looks the way it does
Turnout in Kinzua sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lonerock, OR R+46
- Fossil, OR R+50
- Mayville, OR R+49
- Wetmore, OR R+49
- Spray, OR R+52
- Condon, OR R+45
- Twickenham, OR R+51
- Clarno, OR R+49
- Kimberly, OR R+55
- Kent, OR R+54
Cities with Similar Populations
- Adrian, WA R+49
- Wetmore, OR R+49
- Loomer, SD D+4
- Kirklands Crossroads, AL R+66
- Los Pachecos, NM D+29
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.