Paynes Point leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 98% of adults in Paynes Point typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Paynes Point, ~29% vote Democratic, ~69% Republican, and ~2% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Paynes Point compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Paynes Point leans more Republican than 50 of 66 neighbors.
Paynes Point runs about 51 points more Republican than Illinois as a whole. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Paynes Point is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Paynes Point leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Paynes Point, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Paynes Point votes against the grain of Illinois. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Paynes Point runs about 51 points more Republican. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Paynes Point fits that profile on both counts.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Paynes Point, IL sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Paynes Point looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 94% of households in Paynes Point own their home, about 15 points above the Illinois average of 80%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Chana, IL R+39
- Flagg Center, IL R+33
- Honey Creek, IL R+34
- White Rock, IL R+37
- Hillcrest, IL R+17
- Rochelle, IL R+18
- Ashton, IL R+42
- Oregon, IL R+24
- Holcomb, IL R+34
- Kingdom, IL R+39
Cities with Similar Populations
- Agenda, KS R+68
- Amonate, VA R+72
- Riverton, TN R+74
- Lockwood, KY R+61
- Macomber, WV R+64
- Chaseley, ND R+62
- Foster, TX R+79
- Sunrise, TN R+66
- Cedar Point, KS R+57
- Heaven Heights, MA R+16
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Illinois State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.