Phoenix Hill, Louisville, KY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Phoenix Hill

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Phoenix Hill is a Democratic stronghold. About 84% of voters here vote Democratic and 16% Republican.

 

About 42% of adults in Phoenix Hill typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Phoenix Hill, ~35% vote Democratic, ~7% Republican, and ~58% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Phoenix Hill compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Phoenix Hill leans more Democratic than 23 of 31 neighbors.

Phoenix Hill runs about 98 points more Democratic than Kentucky as a whole. Kentucky leans Republican overall, while Phoenix Hill is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by block within Phoenix Hill. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+72) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+59), a spread of about 13 points.

Why Phoenix Hill leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Phoenix Hill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Phoenix Hill live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 64% of adults in Phoenix Hill have never been married, above 96% of neighborhoods. Phoenix Hill runs against the grain of Kentucky, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.

Paved land cover and Democratic lean

Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Phoenix Hill, Louisville, KY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.

Why turnout in Phoenix Hill looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Phoenix Hill is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 41%, about 13 points below the Kentucky average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 91% of households in Phoenix Hill rent, compared to around 54% in nearby neighborhoods. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Phoenix Hill sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.