Phoenix Lake leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 88% of adults in Phoenix Lake typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Phoenix Lake, ~32% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~12% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Phoenix Lake compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Phoenix Lake leans more Republican than 25 of 37 neighbors.
Phoenix Lake runs about 48 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Phoenix Lake is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Phoenix Lake leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Phoenix Lake, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Phoenix Lake votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Phoenix Lake runs about 48 points more Republican. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Phoenix Lake runs against that pattern.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Phoenix Lake, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Phoenix Lake looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Phoenix Lake is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 90% of households in Phoenix Lake own their home, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Sonora, CA R+17
- Soulsbyville, CA R+30
- Standard, CA R+26
- Tuolumne, CA R+30
- Twain Harte, CA R+11
- Columbia, CA R+18
- Jamestown, CA R+23
- Mi-Wuk Village, CA Even
- Tuttletown, CA R+25
- Quartz, CA R+32
Cities with Similar Populations
- Manhattan, MT R+36
- Sinking Spring, PA Even
- Milan, IN R+61
- Clarkson, KY R+63
- Yellville, AR R+57
- Primos, PA D+21
- Joppa, MD R+23
- Whitehall, NY R+40
- Bradley Beach, NJ D+16
- San Quentin, CA D+41
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.