Pine Island leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Pine Island typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Pine Island, ~33% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Pine Island compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Pine Island leans more Republican than 47 of 140 neighbors.
Pine Island runs about 28 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Pine Island is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Pine Island. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+25) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+9), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Pine Island leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Pine Island, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 83% of households in Pine Island are family households, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Pine Island runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Pine Island, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Pine Island looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Pine Island is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Pine Island have completed high school, above 81% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Snufftown, NY R+28
- Glenwood, NJ R+27
- Westtown, NY R+32
- Johnson, NY R+33
- Warwick, NY R+10
- Vernon, NJ R+26
- Slate Hill, NY R+26
- Sussex, NJ R+25
- Florida, NY R+12
- New Hampton, NY R+25
Cities with Similar Populations
- Craig South Highlands, CO R+65
- Menan, ID R+75
- Gregory, SD R+64
- Rich Square, NC D+32
- Cumming, IA R+28
- Pinetta, FL R+58
- Boyd, WI R+40
- Randle, WA R+30
- Eagletown, OK R+72
- Ansted, WV R+59
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.