Warwick leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.
About 81% of adults in Warwick typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Warwick, ~36% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Warwick compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Warwick leans more Republican than 63 of 177 neighbors.
Warwick runs about 23 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Warwick is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Warwick. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+22) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+6), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Warwick leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Warwick, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Warwick votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 34%, above 82% of cities). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Warwick runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; Warwick, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in Warwick looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Warwick is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Wisner, NY R+19
- Florida, NY R+12
- Greenwood Lake, NY R+13
- Sterling Forest, NY R+19
- Sugar Loaf, NY R+7
- Snufftown, NY R+28
- Upper Greenwood Lake, NJ R+21
- Pine Island, NY R+16
- Hewitt, NJ R+22
- Glenwood, NJ R+27
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hot Springs Village, AR R+45
- Marshfield, MA D+8
- Walnut Grove, WA D+11
- White Settlement, TX R+20
- Madisonville, LA R+49
- Bellaire, TX D+9
- Cadillac, MI R+24
- Mount Morris, MI D+12
- Indianola, IA R+17
- Cedar Mill, OR D+48
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.