Pine Lawn is a Democratic stronghold. About 93% of voters here vote Democratic and 7% Republican.
About 53% of adults in Pine Lawn typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Pine Lawn, ~49% vote Democratic, ~4% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Pine Lawn compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Pine Lawn leans more Democratic than 174 of 180 neighbors.
Pine Lawn runs about 103 points more Democratic than Missouri as a whole. Missouri leans Republican overall, while Pine Lawn is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why Pine Lawn leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Pine Lawn, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Pine Lawn live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 60% of adults in Pine Lawn have never been married, in the top fraction of cities. Pine Lawn runs against the grain of Missouri, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Pine Lawn, MO sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Pine Lawn looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Pine Lawn is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 33%, about 25 points below the Missouri average of 57%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 67% of households in Pine Lawn rent, compared to around 44% in nearby cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 56% of adults in Pine Lawn report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Uplands Park, MO D+86
- Northwoods, MO D+86
- Velda Village Hills, MO D+87
- Beverly Hills, MO D+86
- Hillsdale, MO D+85
- Velda City, MO D+87
- Glen Echo Park, MO D+47
- Pasadena Hills, MO D+75
- Norwood Court, MO D+82
- Flordell Hills, MO D+83
Cities with Similar Populations
- White Mountain Lake, AZ R+61
- Montezuma, IA R+41
- Mount Crawford, VA R+36
- Pylesville, MD R+47
- North High Shoals, GA R+51
- North Prairie, WI R+40
- Star Valley, AZ R+53
- Rockport, ME D+13
- Pigeon, MI R+36
- East Uniontown, PA R+20
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.