Mount Crawford leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Mount Crawford typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mount Crawford, ~25% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mount Crawford compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mount Crawford leans more Republican than 18 of 69 neighbors.
Mount Crawford runs about 42 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Mount Crawford is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Mount Crawford. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+41) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+25), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Mount Crawford leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mount Crawford, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Mount Crawford votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Mount Crawford runs about 42 points more Republican. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Mount Crawford runs against that pattern.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Mount Crawford, VA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Mount Crawford looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Mount Crawford is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Weyers Cave, VA R+41
- Massanetta Springs, VA R+7
- Bridgewater, VA R+21
- Port Republic, VA R+44
- Penn Laird, VA R+29
- Harrisonburg, VA D+7
- Roman, VA R+42
- Dayton, VA R+49
- Mount Sidney, VA R+45
- Grottoes, VA R+51
Cities with Similar Populations
- Pylesville, MD R+47
- North High Shoals, GA R+51
- Montezuma, IA R+41
- Rockport, ME D+13
- Pine Lawn, MO D+85
- East Uniontown, PA R+20
- White Mountain Lake, AZ R+61
- Theresa, NY R+42
- North Prairie, WI R+40
- Adair, OK R+61
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.