Plum Tree is a Republican stronghold. About 23% of voters here vote Democratic and 77% Republican.
About 61% of adults in Plum Tree typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Plum Tree, ~14% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Plum Tree compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Plum Tree leans more Republican than 19 of 75 neighbors.
Plum Tree runs about 35 points more Republican than Indiana as a whole.
Why Plum Tree leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Plum Tree, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Plum Tree, about 98% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 25 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 15% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 8 points below the Indiana average of 22%.
Non-English at home and voter turnout
Places with a high non-English-at-home share tend to turn out at a lower rate; Plum Tree, IN sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Plum Tree looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Plum Tree is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 64%, above 63% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Majenica, IN R+60
- Warren, IN R+54
- Rockford, IN R+60
- Lancaster, IN R+61
- Liberty Center, IN R+70
- Milo, IN R+56
- Markle, IN R+56
- Bippus, IN R+59
- Simpson, IN R+57
- Mount Zion, IN R+68
Cities with Similar Populations
- Irwin, VA R+21
- Buffalo, OH R+64
- Upshaw, VA R+34
- Robat, SC R+61
- Tioga, WV R+62
- Harmony Grove, TN R+69
- South Danby, NY D+57
- Unionville, LA R+81
- New Gottland, KS R+61
- Mellott, IN R+67
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Indiana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.