Ponca City leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 59% of adults in Ponca City typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ponca City, ~17% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ponca City compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Ponca City leans more Republican than 3 of 24 neighbors.
Ponca City runs about 7 points more Democratic than Oklahoma as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Ponca City. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+59) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+34), a spread of about 26 points.
Why Ponca City leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ponca City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Ponca City votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 64%, far above the Oklahoma average of 18%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Ponca City, OK sits below the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Ponca City looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 34% of households in Ponca City rent, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- White Eagle, OK R+58
- Kaw City, OK R+67
- Newkirk, OK R+67
- Peckham, OK R+69
- Marland, OK R+33
- Tonkawa, OK R+55
- Blackwell, OK R+49
- Burbank, OK R+70
- Middleton, OK R+69
Cities with Similar Populations
- Milford, MA D+8
- Imperial, MO R+36
- Terrell, TX R+25
- Salem, NH D+4
- Derby, KS R+29
- Parsippany, NJ D+4
- Mustang, OK R+39
- Jenks, OK R+15
- Sequim, WA D+12
- Glenside, PA D+45
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oklahoma State Election Board, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.