Tonkawa is a Republican stronghold. About 23% of voters here vote Democratic and 77% Republican.
About 47% of adults in Tonkawa typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tonkawa, ~11% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~53% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Tonkawa compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Tonkawa leans more Republican than 4 of 20 neighbors.
Tonkawa runs about 7 points more Republican than Oklahoma as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Tonkawa. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+64) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+41), a spread of about 23 points.
Why Tonkawa leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Tonkawa. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Tonkawa, OK sits below the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Tonkawa looks the way it does
Turnout in Tonkawa sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Blackwell, OK R+49
- Nardin, OK R+67
- Billings, OK R+67
- Ponca City, OK R+42
- Lamont, OK R+71
- Marland, OK R+33
- White Eagle, OK R+58
- Deer Creek, OK R+70
- Peckham, OK R+69
- Red Rock, OK R+37
Cities with Similar Populations
- Beaver, UT R+72
- Wabasha, MN R+15
- Kaneohe Bay, HI D+3
- Catlett, VA R+26
- Northwoods, MO D+86
- Empire, AL R+79
- Taylor Lake Village, TX R+23
- North Lima, OH R+31
- Cresson, PA R+43
- Indian River, MI R+22
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oklahoma State Election Board, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.