Prairieville leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Prairieville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Prairieville, ~30% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Prairieville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Prairieville leans more Republican than 4 of 51 neighbors.
Prairieville runs about 22 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Prairieville is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Prairieville. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+41) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+5), a spread of about 36 points.
Why Prairieville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Prairieville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Prairieville votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 25%, about 11 points below the U.S. average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Prairieville runs against the grain of Minnesota, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Adult arthritis and voter turnout
Places with a low adult-arthritis rate tend to turn out at a higher rate; Prairieville, MN sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Arthritis does not drive turnout; it reflects the age and health profile of an area.
Why turnout in Prairieville looks the way it does
Turnout in Prairieville sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Faribault, MN R+3
- Ruskin, MN R+40
- Warsaw, MN R+42
- Medford, MN R+47
- Nerstrand, MN R+32
- Shieldsville, MN R+38
- Dundas, MN R+9
- Merton, MN R+43
- Morristown, MN R+41
- Millersburg, MN R+29
Cities with Similar Populations
- Philadelphia, MO R+73
- Lorenzo, GA R+64
- Shoofly, NC R+45
- Silver Creek, NE R+69
- Bricelyn, MN R+42
- Kelliher, MN R+45
- Mountain Park, GA R+6
- Francktown, NC R+42
- Lowndesboro, AL R+13
- Huttig, AR R+3
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.