Progreso leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 41% of adults in Progreso typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Progreso, ~19% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~59% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Progreso compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Progreso leans more Republican than 26 of 51 neighbors.
Progreso runs about 7 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Progreso. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+2) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+30), a spread of about 32 points.
Why Progreso leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Progreso, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Progreso votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 44%, modestly above the Texas average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Progreso sits in the bottom quarter (about 12%, below 89% of cities). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 89% of households in Progreso are family households, in the top fraction of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Progreso, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Progreso looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Progreso is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 38%, about 16 points below the Texas average of 54%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 54% of adults in Progreso have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of cities. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Progreso sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Progreso Lakes, TX R+31
- Relampago, TX R+11
- Midway South, TX Even
- Weslaco, TX R+2
- Mercedes, TX Even
- Santa Maria, TX R+3
- Rio Rico, TX R+4
- Midway North, TX R+8
- Solis, TX R+11
Cities with Similar Populations
- Jonesville, NC R+49
- Sunset, UT R+20
- Linden, VA R+33
- Granville, NY R+36
- Hartford, MI R+26
- Hewitt, NJ R+22
- West Portsmouth, OH R+54
- North Beach, MD R+4
- Sansom Park, TX R+9
- Mather, CA Even
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.