Progreso Lakes leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 35% of adults in Progreso Lakes typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Progreso Lakes, ~12% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~65% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Progreso Lakes compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Progreso Lakes is the most Republican-leaning.
Progreso Lakes runs about 17 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Why Progreso Lakes leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Progreso Lakes, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 86% of households in Progreso Lakes are family households, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a high uninsured rate tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Progreso Lakes, TX does.
Why turnout in Progreso Lakes looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Progreso Lakes is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 44%, about 10 points below the Texas average of 54%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 79% of adults in Progreso Lakes have completed high school, below 92% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Progreso, TX R+7
- Relampago, TX R+11
- Midway South, TX Even
- Weslaco, TX R+2
- Mercedes, TX Even
- El Gato, TX R+16
- Santa Maria, TX R+3
- Midway North, TX R+8
- Donna, TX Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- Strong City, KS R+56
- Naylor, AR R+69
- Hilldale, WV R+57
- Cedar Vale, KS R+74
- Wendell, MN R+38
- Onion Creek, WA R+45
- Barton Hills, MI D+39
- Union Crossroads, SC R+35
- Bethany, MN R+39
- Good Hope, IL R+49
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.